Webloggin » Romney Proves Once Again That His Wins are no Fluke, Dems Race a Mass of Confusion

Mitt Romney easily cruised to victory in Nevada by pulling in over 55% of the vote with 78% of the precincts reporting in. By contrast the Democrats, who the AP and most of the mainstream media characterized as tight is really in the confusing mess that the pundits love to pin on Republicans.

The numbers for the top two vote getters in each race tell a remarkable story. Firs off is Romney who took in 53% of the votes at this time of writing while John McCain trails a distant 2nd in a TIE WITH RON PAUL at 13% a piece! This is yet another one of those results that spells big trouble for John McCain’s political cross dressing approach to politics. 71% of the counted Republican votes in Nevada came from a demographic that is very familiar with John McCain as they were 45 and over in age. The male to female was split down the middle on the Republican side.

The Democrat picture is much more confusing as well as discomforting for those who were hoping for a clear winner. Hillary Clinton is the projected winner with 51% of the vote but Barack Obama trails only by 6% with 45% of the vote. This despite the fact that 49% of the Democrats counted so far were women; a sure plus for Hillary Clinton. Where Clinton lost however was in the black vote. Only 16% of the Nevada vote casters were black, with 80% of that vote going to Obama. This spells real trouble for Hillary Clinton in South Carolina.

The press can say what they will; it doesn’t amount to a hill of beans at the end of the day because Mitt Romney is starting to gain momentum. They hate him because he is electable, is not John McCain and will be someone who can actually pull in the youth and female vote based on looks alone. Nevada is showing that 50% of the 18-29 Republican demographic voted for Mitt Romney along with 60% of women. Illegal Immigration followed by the economy are the two most important issues to Nevada voters among those who cast votes for Romney. Most importantly Mitt Romney took in 58% of the Republican vote to 12% of McCain and 4% for Giuliani. Yes, I know that Romney campaigned in Nevada the most out of all of them besides Ron Paul but I think there is more going on with him then just showing up in the state.

Much will be made of Ron Paul’s vote results but this is good news for Republicans. Paul is taking in the independent vote which is a good sign for him for now. In Nevada I already broke down the numbers in an article I wrote yesterday Newsbusters:

To see how evenly divided the electorate in Nevada is we turn to real numbers. The Nevada Secretary of State has a breakdown of voter registration by party affiliation. It shows that as of December 2007 the state has 397,247 registered Democrats, 392,362 Registered Republicans and a small 5,843 registered libertarians. The bulk of Nevada’s non Democrat or Republican voters are vote tilting independents that come in at 37,282 and non-partisan unaffiliated voters at a whopping 141,195 registrants.

The good news here is that Ron Paul is running as a Republican. Once he drops out of the race we should see the independents needing a place to put their vote. In my estimation that is a good place anybody BUT John McCain. Independents are looking for change, John McCain is not that guy. Sorry, I just don’t buy it.

Will independents go to Democrats? I guess that depends on Hillary Clinton. I think she is the least likely person to attract an independent voter; unlike Obama.

Democrats will really have a problem here. The infighting has been much more damaging for the left as we are seeing a split among race and gender. If Hillary Clinton pulls it off and becomes their gal she will have a lot of ground to make up on the minority black vote. She has been lobbying hard for the Latino vote which I think personally affects the black population in terms of jobs and direct impact from illegal immigration. Considering the strength of the black voter in South Carolina don’t expect a strong showing for Hillary Clinton.