Gallup: Obama Losing Support of Party Base

According to Gallup polling Barack Obama has been struggling to get the support of his party base. Gallup is indicating that the problem is with conservative Democrats that have stumbled to a new three month low at 63% among Democrats that identify themselves as such. He is also having a big problem with married women that have dropped below 40%.

Within the Democratic Party, Obama’s losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.

As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obama’s support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.

The 78% of Democrats backing Obama from Aug. 18-24 ties for the lowest seen since early June. The 7% of Republicans for Obama is the lowest to date (since the start of Gallup Poll Daily tracking of the Obama-McCain race in March).

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Obama’s troubles are also evident among married women. Between Aug. 4-10 and Aug. 18-24, the percentage of married women backing Obama fell from 46% to 39%, while support from unmarried women fell from 58% to 55%. At the same time, there has been no decrease in the percentage of married or unmarried men supporting Obama.

I wonder how long it will take the Democrat party faithful in the media to start attacking this poll. For that matter why doesn’t the Obama campaign sue Gallup into silence like it is trying to do with the conservative leaning American Issues Project. Or better yet, why doesn’t the Obama campaign arrange a protest of Gallup polls in general as it is doing with WGN radio for having the audacity to allow journalist Stanley Kurtz on the air. For those of you that haven’t heard Stanley Kurtz is the reporter that wrote about the University of Chicago move to deny access to papers linking Barack Obama to anti-American radical William Ayers.

More bad news for Barack Obama however is his support among the once touted Republican crossover vote.

Among Republicans, Obama has mainly seen his support eroding among moderate and liberal Republicans, from 19% to 13% during August. Already at 4% to 6% in July and early August, Obama’s support from conservative Republicans could not go much lower.

With a lot of luck perhaps John McCain will get a clue. Rather than pander to green initiatives and open border enthusiasts like some in the GOP perhaps the McCain campaign will do something unexpected; like appeal to conservatives as he did at Saddleback. Instead of trying to woo the Hillary supporters that by all indication will vote for Obama, John McCain should target conservative voters. The voters that are patriotic and repulsed by the idea that Barack Obama had much more than a passing neighborly relationship with unrepentant leader of a cop killing American terrorist organization is the ticket to winning this election.

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